Riding profile
Lewisham North
The question
Lewisham North: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Lewisham North, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 36-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 42% vote share, against 32% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Vicky Foxcroft
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLewisham North | 41.7% | 32.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +20.1 | 11.8% +20.3 | 25.3% −14.4 | 11.6% −3.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicky Foxcroft Elected | Labour | 25,467 | 57.7 | — |
| Adam Pugh | Green | 9,685 | 21.9 | — |
| Jean Branch | Lib Dems | 3,284 | 7.4 | — |
| Nupur Majumdar | Conservative | 2,701 | 6.1 | — |
| Edward Powell | Reform UK | 2,000 | 4.5 | — |
| Mian Akbar | Other | 457 | 1.0 | — |
| Julia Tilford | Other | 243 | 0.6 | — |
| Oliver Snelling | Other | 211 | 0.5 | — |
| John Lloyd | Other | 119 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029