Riding profile
Lewisham East
The question
Lewisham East: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Lewisham East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 44-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 42% vote share, against 23% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Janet Daby
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 16.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLewisham East | 41.9% | 23.2% | 15.5% | 8.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +20.3 | 11.8% +11.4 | 25.3% −9.8 | 18.9% −10.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janet Daby Elected | Labour | 23,646 | 58.2 | — |
| Mike Herron | Green | 5,573 | 13.7 | — |
| Louise Brice | Conservative | 4,401 | 10.8 | — |
| Ruth Handyside | Reform UK | 3,469 | 8.5 | — |
| Callum Littlemore | Lib Dems | 2,471 | 6.1 | — |
| Steph Koffi | Other | 577 | 1.4 | — |
| Maureen Martin | Other | 404 | 1.0 | — |
| Richard Galloway | Other | 96 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029