Riding profile
Beckenham and Penge
The question
Beckenham and Penge: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Beckenham and Penge, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 36% vote share, against 21% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Liam Conlon
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBeckenham and Penge | 35.9% | 20.7% | 19.5% | 12.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +14.2 | 18.9% +1.8 | 25.3% −5.8 | 11.8% +0.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Conlon Elected | Labour | 25,753 | 49.3 | — |
| Hannah Gray | Conservative | 12,848 | 24.6 | — |
| Edward Apostolides | Reform UK | 5,355 | 10.3 | — |
| Chloe-Jane Ross | Lib Dems | 4,436 | 8.5 | — |
| Ruth Fabricant | Green | 3,830 | 7.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029