Riding profile
Bromley and Biggin Hill
The question
Bromley and Biggin Hill: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.7
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBromley and Biggin Hill | 29.6% | 26.9% | 23.1% | 10.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 19.3% +10.2 | 25.4% +1.5 | 21.8% +1.3 | 11.4% −0.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Bromley and Biggin Hill, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 30% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Peter Fortune
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Fortune Elected | Conservative | 15,929 | 34.0 | — |
| Oana Olaru-Holmes | Labour | 15,627 | 33.4 | — |
| Alan Cook | Reform UK | 8,203 | 17.5 | — |
| Julie Ireland | Lib Dems | 4,352 | 9.3 | — |
| Caroline Sandes | Green | 2,583 | 5.5 | — |
| Karen Miller | Other | 94 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029