Riding profile
Croydon West
The question
Croydon West: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Croydon West, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 41% vote share, against 15% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sarah Jones
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 24.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCroydon West | 41.0% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +19.4 | 25.3% −10.1 | 11.8% +2.7 | 18.9% −5.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Jones Elected | Labour | 20,612 | 54.1 | — |
| Simon Fox | Conservative | 6,386 | 16.8 | — |
| Ria Patel | Green | 3,851 | 10.1 | — |
| Jahir Hussain | Lib Dems | 3,667 | 9.6 | — |
| Vinayak Malhotra | Reform UK | 2,148 | 5.6 | — |
| Ahsan Ullah | Other | 708 | 1.9 | — |
| Donna Murray-Turner | Other | 503 | 1.3 | — |
| April Ashley | Other | 247 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029