Riding profile

Streatham and Croydon North

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Streatham and Croydon North: a safe seat for Labour?

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
15.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 39.1%
  • Green 23.2%
  • Reform UK 12.3%
  • Lib Dems 10.6%
  • Conservative 10.0%
  • Other 4.6%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. Birmingham ErdingtonReform UK60 %0.5 pt margin
  2. Derby NorthLabour62 %0.5 pt margin
  3. Middlesbrough and Thornaby EastReform UK62 %0.5 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Lib Dems
HereStreatham and Croydon North 39.1%23.2%12.3%10.6%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.8% +17.3 10.8% +12.4 25.4% −13.1 11.4% −0.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Editorial read

Streatham and Croydon North, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 35-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 39% vote share, against 23% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Steve Reed

Sits with Labour

Since
2012-11-29
Parliament
59th

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
35.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-19.1 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Steve Reed Elected Labour 23,232 52.1 —
Scott Ainslie Green 7,629 17.1 —
Anthony Boutall Conservative 5,328 12.0 —
Claire Bonham Lib Dems 5,031 11.3 —
Philip Watson Reform UK 1,994 4.5 —
Waseem Sherwani Other 910 2.0 —
Magdaline Nzekwue Other 290 0.7 —
Myles Owen Other 139 0.3 —

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
118,791
Median age
36
Employment rate
81.7%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029