Riding profile

Streatham and Croydon North

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Streatham and Croydon North: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Streatham and Croydon North, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 35-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 38% vote share, against 27% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Steve Reed

Sits with Labour

Since
2012-11-29
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 37.8%
  • Green 26.6%
  • Reform UK 12.0%
  • Lib Dems 11.0%
  • Conservative 8.8%
  • Other 3.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Reform UK Lib Dems
HereStreatham and Croydon North 37.8%26.6%12.0%11.0%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +16.1 11.8% +14.8 25.3% −13.3 11.6% −0.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
35.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-25.7 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Steve Reed Elected Labour 23,232 52.1
Scott Ainslie Green 7,629 17.1
Anthony Boutall Conservative 5,328 12.0
Claire Bonham Lib Dems 5,031 11.3
Philip Watson Reform UK 1,994 4.5
Waseem Sherwani Other 910 2.0
Magdaline Nzekwue Other 290 0.7
Myles Owen Other 139 0.3

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
118,791
Median age
36
Employment rate
81.7%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029