Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Streatham and Croydon North

Westminster constituency · England · London

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 24.6 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 44.4%
  • Green 19.8%
  • Reform UK 11.4%
  • Conservative 11.1%
  • Lib Dems 9.0%
  • Other 4.0%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Labour Green Reform UK Conservative
Streatham and Croydon North 44.4%19.8%11.4%11.1%
National averageUnited Kingdom 26.5%+17.9 9.7%+10.2 22.3%−10.9 20.0%−8.9

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population118,791
Median age36
Employment rate81.7%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Steve Reed · Labour

In office since November 29, 2012. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

Labour won by 35.0 points.

Our current projection: Labour ahead by 24.6 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Steve Reed Elected Labour 23,232 52.1
Scott Ainslie Green 7,629 17.1
Anthony Boutall Conservative 5,328 12.0
Claire Bonham Lib Dems 5,031 11.3
Philip Watson Reform UK 1,994 4.5
Waseem Sherwani Other 910 2.0
Magdaline Nzekwue Other 290 0.7
Myles Owen Other 139 0.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shireSNP76%1.2-point gap
  2. Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketReform UK46%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative63%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated