Riding profile

Clapham and Brixton Hill

UK constituency — England · Urban · london

The question

Clapham and Brixton Hill: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Clapham and Brixton Hill, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 42-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 44% vote share, against 18% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Bell Ribeiro-Addy

Sits with Labour

Since
2019-12-12
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
24.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 44.3%
  • Green 18.3%
  • Lib Dems 13.7%
  • Reform UK 12.4%
  • Conservative 8.6%
  • Other 2.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Lib Dems Reform UK
HereClapham and Brixton Hill 44.3%18.3%13.7%12.4%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +22.6 11.8% +6.4 11.6% +2.0 25.3% −13.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
42.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-18.1 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Bell Ribeiro-Addy Elected Labour 24,166 56.5
Ben Curtis Lib Dems 6,161 14.4
Shâo-Lan Yuen Green 5,768 13.5
Asha Saroy Conservative 4,360 10.2
Mark Matlock Reform UK 1,758 4.1
Jon Key Other 406 0.9
Bill Martin Other 122 0.3

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
103,853
Median age
31
Employment rate
79.7%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029