Clapham and Brixton Hill
Westminster constituency · England · London
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 31.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Green | Lib Dems | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clapham and Brixton Hill | 48.6% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 26.5%+22.1 | 9.7%+7.5 | 9.9%+2.1 | 20.0%−10.3 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 103,853 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 31 |
| Employment rate | 79.7% |
Current member
Bell Ribeiro-Addy · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 42.1 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 31.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bell Ribeiro-Addy Elected | Labour | 24,166 | 56.5 |
| Ben Curtis | Lib Dems | 6,161 | 14.4 |
| Shâo-Lan Yuen | Green | 5,768 | 13.5 |
| Asha Saroy | Conservative | 4,360 | 10.2 |
| Mark Matlock | Reform UK | 1,758 | 4.1 |
| Jon Key | Other | 406 | 0.9 |
| Bill Martin | Other | 122 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Battersea Labour, safe seat
- Vauxhall and Camberwell Green Labour, safe seat
- Dulwich and West Norwood Labour, safe seat
- Streatham and Croydon North Labour, safe seat
- Tooting Labour, safe seat
- Peckham Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated