Riding profile
Tooting
The question
Tooting: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 26.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Conservative | Green | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTooting | 43.0% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +21.2 | 19.3% −2.5 | 10.8% +3.8 | 25.4% −12.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Tooting, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 43% vote share, against 17% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Dr Rosena Allin-Khan
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosena Allin-Khan Elected | Labour | 29,209 | 55.2 | — |
| Ethan Brooks | Conservative | 9,722 | 18.4 | — |
| Nick Humberstone | Green | 5,672 | 10.7 | — |
| Judith Trounson | Lib Dems | 4,438 | 8.4 | — |
| Andrew Price | Reform UK | 2,546 | 4.8 | — |
| Tarik Hussain | Other | 807 | 1.5 | — |
| Jas Alduk | Other | 370 | 0.7 | — |
| Davinder Jamus | Other | 179 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029