Riding profile
Lewisham West and East Dulwich
The question
Lewisham West and East Dulwich: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Lewisham West and East Dulwich, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 40-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 43% vote share, against 30% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ellie Reeves
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLewisham West and East Dulwich | 42.5% | 30.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +20.9 | 11.8% +18.6 | 25.3% −14.3 | 11.6% −3.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Reeves Elected | Labour | 27,406 | 59.0 | — |
| Callum Fowler | Green | 9,009 | 19.4 | — |
| Josh Matthews | Lib Dems | 3,558 | 7.7 | — |
| Christine Wallace | Conservative | 3,477 | 7.5 | — |
| Marian Newton | Reform UK | 2,234 | 4.8 | — |
| Gwenton Sloley | Other | 427 | 0.9 | — |
| Katherine Hortense | Other | 303 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029