Riding profile
Wimbledon
The question
Wimbledon: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
Wimbledon, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 39% vote share, against 18% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Mr Paul Kohler
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 21.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Labour | Reform UK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWimbledon | 39.1% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 14.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +27.5 | 18.9% −0.6 | 21.7% −4.2 | 25.3% −11.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Kohler Elected | Lib Dems | 24,790 | 45.1 | — |
| Danielle Dunfield-Prayero | Conservative | 12,180 | 22.1 | — |
| Eleanor Stringer | Labour | 11,733 | 21.3 | — |
| Ben Cronin | Reform UK | 3,221 | 5.9 | — |
| Rachel Brooks | Green | 2,442 | 4.4 | — |
| Aaron Mafi | Other | 341 | 0.6 | — |
| Sarah Barber | Other | 129 | 0.2 | — |
| Amy Lynch | Other | 80 | 0.1 | — |
| Michael Watson | Other | 69 | 0.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029