Riding profile
Sutton and Cheam
The question
Sutton and Cheam: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSutton and Cheam | 34.9% | 23.4% | 21.9% | 11.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +23.5 | 19.3% +4.1 | 25.4% −3.5 | 21.8% −10.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Sutton and Cheam, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 35% vote share, against 23% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Luke Taylor
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Taylor Elected | Lib Dems | 17,576 | 36.9 | — |
| Tom Drummond | Conservative | 13,775 | 28.9 | — |
| Chrisni Reshekaron | Labour | 8,430 | 17.7 | — |
| Ryan Powell | Reform UK | 5,787 | 12.2 | — |
| Aasha Anam | Green | 1,721 | 3.6 | — |
| Hamilton Action-Man Kingsley | Other | 317 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029