Riding profile
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross
The question
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 48% vote share, against 21% for the SNP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jamie Stone
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 26.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | SNP | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCaithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | 47.6% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 4.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +36.0 | 2.5% +18.9 | 25.3% −8.5 | 18.9% −14.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Stone Elected | Lib Dems | 22,736 | 49.4 | — |
| Lucy Beattie | SNP | 12,247 | 26.6 | — |
| Eva Kestner | Labour | 3,409 | 7.4 | — |
| Sandra Skinner | Reform UK | 3,360 | 7.3 | — |
| Fiona Fawcett | Conservative | 1,860 | 4.0 | — |
| Anne Thomas | Green | 1,641 | 3.6 | — |
| Steve Chisholm | Other | 795 | 1.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029