Riding profile
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross
The question
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | SNP | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCaithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | 40.0% | 26.1% | 18.4% | 6.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +28.7 | 2.8% +23.3 | 25.4% −7.0 | 19.3% −13.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross, a mixed constituency in Scotland, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 40% vote share, against 26% for the SNP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jamie Stone
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Stone Elected | Lib Dems | 22,736 | 49.4 | — |
| Lucy Beattie | SNP | 12,247 | 26.6 | — |
| Eva Kestner | Labour | 3,409 | 7.4 | — |
| Sandra Skinner | Reform UK | 3,360 | 7.3 | — |
| Fiona Fawcett | Conservative | 1,860 | 4.0 | — |
| Anne Thomas | Green | 1,641 | 3.6 | — |
| Steve Chisholm | Other | 795 | 1.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029