Chilliwack North

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Fraser Valley

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.6 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Live results

Results for Chilliwack North will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Con 59.1%
NDP 39.5%
CentreBC 1.5%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a 95% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	Con	> 99%
Orbit	Con	95%
50/50 blend	Con	98%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	Con	NDP	CentreBC
Chilliwack North	59.1%	39.5%	1.5%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	47.0%+12.0	40.3%−0.8	0.7%+0.8

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Heather Maahs · Con

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Conservatives won by 16.9 points, with 55.1% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 19.6 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Heather Maahs Elected	Con	—	54.6
Dan Coulter	NDP	—	37.7
Tim Cooper	GP	—	5.5
Dan Grice	OTH	—	2.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Abbotsford South Con, safe seat
Abbotsford-Mission Con, safe seat
Chilliwack-Cultus Lake Con, safe seat
Abbotsford West Con, safe seat
Maple Ridge East Con, safe seat
Langley-Abbotsford Con, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026