Langley-Abbotsford
Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 30.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Results for Langley-Abbotsford will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.
All British Columbia resultsWhat Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a > 99% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | Con | > 99% |
| Orbit | Con | > 99% |
| 50/50 blend | Con | > 99% |
Compared with the average
| Con | NDP | GP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langley-Abbotsford | 56.9% | 26.4% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.0%+9.9 | 40.3%−13.9 | 10.3%−0.5 | 0.4%+4.0 |
Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Harman Bhangu · Con
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 21.9 points, with 59.5% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 30.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harman Bhangu Elected | Con | — | 55.7 |
| John Aldag | NDP | — | 33.7 |
| Melissa Snazell | GP | — | 5.6 |
| Alex Joehl | OTH | — | — |
| Karen Long | OTH | — | — |
| Shelly Jan [ a ] | OTH | — | — |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Langley-Walnut Grove Con, safe seat
- Langley-Willowbrook Con, safe seat
- Surrey-Cloverdale Con, safe seat
- Maple Ridge East Con, safe seat
- Surrey-Guildford Con, safe seat
- Surrey-Serpentine River Con, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated