Langley-Willowbrook

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.4 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Live results

Results for Langley-Willowbrook will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Con 49.3%
NDP 37.0%
GP 11.5%
OneBC 2.2%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a 83% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	Con	> 99%
Orbit	Con	83%
50/50 blend	Con	92%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	Con	NDP	GP	OneBC
Langley-Willowbrook	49.3%	37.0%	11.5%	2.2%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	47.0%+2.3	40.3%−3.3	10.3%+1.3	1.3%+0.9

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Jody Toor · Con

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Conservatives won by 3.8 points, with 55.4% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 12.4 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Jody Toor Elected	Con	—	48.2
Andrew Mercier	NDP	—	44.4
Petrina Arnason	GP	—	7.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Surrey-Cloverdale Con, safe seat
Langley-Abbotsford Con, safe seat
Langley-Walnut Grove Con, safe seat
Surrey South Con, safe seat
Surrey-Serpentine River Con, safe seat
Surrey-Guildford Con, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026