Langley-Walnut Grove
Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 14.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Results for Langley-Walnut Grove will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.
All British Columbia resultsWhat Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a 85% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | Con | > 99% |
| Orbit | Con | 85% |
| 50/50 blend | Con | 92% |
Compared with the average
| Con | NDP | GP | CentreBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langley-Walnut Grove | 51.4% | 37.4% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.0%+4.4 | 40.3%−2.9 | 10.3%−1.0 | 0.7%+1.1 |
Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Misty Van Popta · Con
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 4.8 points, with 58.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 14.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Misty Van Popta Elected | Con | — | 49.6 |
| Megan Dykeman | NDP | — | 44.8 |
| Rylee Mac Lean | GP | — | 5.1 |
| Carlos Suarez Rubio | OTH | — | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Langley-Abbotsford Con, safe seat
- Langley-Willowbrook Con, safe seat
- Surrey-Cloverdale Con, safe seat
- Surrey-Guildford Con, safe seat
- Maple Ridge East Con, safe seat
- Surrey-Serpentine River Con, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated