Coquitlam-Burke Mountain

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.5 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 12%.

Live results

Results for Coquitlam-Burke Mountain will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Con 50.6%
NDP 43.2%
GP 4.1%
CentreBC 2.1%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a 70% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	Con	> 99%
Orbit	Con	70%
50/50 blend	Con	85%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	Con	NDP	GP	CentreBC
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain	50.6%	43.2%	4.1%	2.1%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	47.0%+3.6	40.3%+2.9	10.3%−6.2	0.7%+1.3

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Jodie Wickens · NDP

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The NDP won by 1.7 points, with 54.7% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 7.5 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Jodie Wickens Elected	NDP	—	50.9
Stephen Frolek	Con	—	49.2

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP, toss-up
Port Coquitlam NDP, competitive
Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP, toss-up
Surrey-Guildford Con, safe seat
Surrey City Centre Con, toss-up
New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026