Coquitlam-Maillardville

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the NDP a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.1 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 83%.

Live results

Results for Coquitlam-Maillardville will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

NDP 46.0%
Con 43.1%
GP 10.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the NDP, with a 64% chance (91% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	NDP	91%
Orbit	NDP	64%
50/50 blend	NDP	77%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	NDP	Con	GP
Coquitlam-Maillardville	46.0%	43.1%	10.9%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	40.3%+5.7	47.0%−3.9	10.3%+0.6

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Jennifer Blatherwick · NDP

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The NDP won by 12.2 points, with 56.9% turnout.

Our current projection: the NDP ahead by 3.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Jennifer Blatherwick Elected	NDP	—	51.8
Hamed Najafi	Con	—	39.6
Nicola Spurling	GP	—	6.3
Ken Holowanky	OTH	—	2.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Port Coquitlam NDP, competitive
Surrey City Centre Con, toss-up
Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP, toss-up
Surrey-Guildford Con, safe seat
Surrey North Con, safe seat
New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026