Port Coquitlam
Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026
Our forecast gives the NDP a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 20%.
Results for Port Coquitlam will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.
All British Columbia resultsWhat Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the NDP, with a 72% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | NDP | > 99% |
| Orbit | NDP | 72% |
| 50/50 blend | NDP | 86% |
Compared with the average
| NDP | Con | GP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Coquitlam | 46.8% | 40.2% | 10.7% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 40.3%+6.6 | 47.0%−6.9 | 10.3%+0.4 | 1.3%+0.6 |
Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Mike Farnworth · NDP
Previous election (2024)
The NDP won by 15.1 points, with 57.7% turnout.
Our current projection: the NDP ahead by 6.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Farnworth Elected | NDP | — | 53.9 |
| Keenan Adams | Con | — | 38.8 |
| Adam Bremner-Akins | GP | — | 6.4 |
| Lewis Dahlby | OTH | — | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP, toss-up
- Surrey-Guildford Con, safe seat
- Surrey City Centre Con, toss-up
- Surrey-Fleetwood Con, toss-up
- Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP, toss-up
- Surrey-Serpentine River Con, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated