Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Fraser Valley

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the NDP a 94% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 82%.

Live results

Results for Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

NDP 49.5%
Con 46.3%
OneBC 2.1%
CentreBC 2.1%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the NDP, with a 54% chance (94% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	NDP	94%
Orbit	NDP	54%
50/50 blend	NDP	74%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	NDP	Con	OneBC	CentreBC
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows	49.5%	46.3%	2.1%	2.1%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	40.3%+9.2	47.0%−0.7	1.3%+0.9	0.7%+1.4

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Lisa Beare · NDP

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The NDP won by 9.8 points, with 59.0% turnout.

Our current projection: the NDP ahead by 3.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Lisa Beare Elected	NDP	—	54.9
Mike Morden	Con	—	45.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Con, safe seat
Maple Ridge East Con, safe seat
Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP, toss-up
Port Coquitlam NDP, competitive
Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP, toss-up
Langley-Walnut Grove Con, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026