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Prince George-Mackenzie

Provincial riding · British Columbia · North

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 38.2 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Live results

Results for Prince George-Mackenzie will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Con 62.9%
  • NDP 24.7%
  • GP 12.3%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a > 99% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

ModelFavouriteChance
Harfang des neigesCon> 99%
OrbitCon> 99%
50/50 blendCon> 99%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

Con NDP GP
Prince George-Mackenzie 62.9%24.7%12.3%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 47.0%+15.9 40.3%−15.6 10.3%+2.1

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Kiel Giddens · Con

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Conservatives won by 32.7 points, with 59.5% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 38.2 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Kiel Giddens Elected Con — 60.9
Shar McCrory NDP — 28.2
James Steidle GP — 8.5
Rachael Weber OTH — 2.3

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Burnaby South-MetrotownCon66%1.8-point gap
  2. Kelowna CentreCon63%1.9-point gap
  3. Surrey-NewtonNDP61%1.9-point gap
Forecast updated