Prince George-North Cariboo
Provincial riding · British Columbia · Interior
Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 56.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Results for Prince George-North Cariboo will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.
All British Columbia resultsWhat Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a > 99% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | Con | > 99% |
| Orbit | Con | > 99% |
| 50/50 blend | Con | > 99% |
Compared with the average
| Con | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prince George-North Cariboo | 73.2% | 16.7% | 10.1% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.0%+26.1 | 40.3%−23.6 | 10.3%−0.1 |
Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Sheldon Clare · Con
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 39.8 points, with 60.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 56.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheldon Clare Elected | Con | — | 56.8 |
| Coralee Oakes | OTH | — | 21.8 |
| Denice Bardua | NDP | — | 17.0 |
| Randy Thompson | GP | — | 4.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Cariboo-Chilcotin Con, safe seat
- Prince George-Mackenzie Con, safe seat
- Peace River South Con, safe seat
- Powell River-Sunshine Coast NDP, safe seat
- West Vancouver-Sea to Sky GP, toss-up
- Nechako Lakes Con, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated