West Vancouver-Sea to Sky
Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026
Our forecast gives the Green Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 44%.
Results for West Vancouver-Sea to Sky will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.
All British Columbia resultsWhat Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the GP, with a 75% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | GP | > 99% |
| Orbit | GP | 75% |
| 50/50 blend | GP | 88% |
Compared with the average
| GP | Con | NDP | CentreBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Vancouver-Sea to Sky | 42.2% | 37.0% | 18.7% | 2.1% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 10.3%+32.0 | 47.0%−10.1 | 40.3%−21.5 | 0.7%+1.3 |
Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Jeremy Valeriote · GP
Previous election (2024)
The Green Party won by 2.5 points, with 62.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the Green Party ahead by 5.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Valeriote Elected | GP | — | 38.1 |
| Yuri Fulmer | Con | — | 35.6 |
| Jen Ford | NDP | — | 26.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows NDP, toss-up
- North Vancouver-Seymour NDP, safe seat
- Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Con, safe seat
- West Vancouver-Capilano Con, safe seat
- North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP, safe seat
- Port Moody-Burquitlam NDP, toss-up
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated