West Vancouver-Capilano
Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver
Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026
Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 35.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Results for West Vancouver-Capilano will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.
All British Columbia resultsWhat Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a > 99% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | Con | > 99% |
| Orbit | Con | > 99% |
| 50/50 blend | Con | > 99% |
Compared with the average
| Con | NDP | GP | OneBC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Vancouver-Capilano | 60.2% | 24.9% | 12.3% | 2.7% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.0%+13.2 | 40.3%−15.4 | 10.3%+2.0 | 1.3%+1.4 |
Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Lynne Block · Con
Previous election (2024)
The Conservatives won by 19.6 points, with 58.6% turnout.
Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 35.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lynne Block Elected | Con | — | 46.7 |
| Sara Eftekhar | NDP | — | 27.1 |
| Karin Kirkpatrick | OTH | — | 20.6 |
| Archie Kaario | GP | — | 5.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vancouver-West End NDP, safe seat
- North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP, safe seat
- Vancouver-Yaletown Con, toss-up
- Vancouver-South Granville NDP, safe seat
- Vancouver-Strathcona NDP, safe seat
- Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated