Vancouver-Hastings

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the NDP a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 31.6 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Live results

Results for Vancouver-Hastings will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

NDP 57.3%
Con 25.7%
GP 15.2%
CentreBC 1.4%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the NDP, with a > 99% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	NDP	> 99%
Orbit	NDP	> 99%
50/50 blend	NDP	> 99%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	NDP	Con	GP	CentreBC
Vancouver-Hastings	57.3%	25.7%	15.2%	1.4%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	40.3%+17.1	47.0%−21.3	10.3%+4.9	0.7%+0.7

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Niki Sharma · NDP

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The NDP won by 39.9 points, with 54.0% turnout.

Our current projection: the NDP ahead by 31.6 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Niki Sharma Elected	NDP	—	64.2
Jacob Burdge	Con	—	24.3
Bridget Burns	GP	—	10.9
Zsolt Kiss	OTH	—	0.7

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Vancouver-Strathcona NDP, safe seat
Vancouver-Renfrew NDP, safe seat
Vancouver-Kensington NDP, safe seat
Vancouver-Yaletown Con, toss-up
North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP, safe seat
Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026