Vancouver-Langara

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 14%.

Live results

Results for Vancouver-Langara will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Con 48.8%
NDP 41.5%
GP 9.8%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Con, with a 68% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	Con	> 99%
Orbit	Con	68%
50/50 blend	Con	84%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	Con	NDP	GP
Vancouver-Langara	48.8%	41.5%	9.8%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	47.0%+1.7	40.3%+1.2	10.3%−0.5

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

Sunita Dhir · NDP

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The NDP won by 2.4 points, with 51.8% turnout.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 7.3 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
Sunita Dhir Elected	NDP	—	48.4
Bryan Breguet	Con	—	46.1
Scottford Price	GP	—	5.5

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP, safe seat
Vancouver-Kensington NDP, safe seat
Richmond Centre Con, safe seat
Vancouver-Quilchena Con, safe seat
Vancouver-Fraserview NDP, safe seat
Vancouver-South Granville NDP, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026