Vancouver-Point Grey

Provincial riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver

Election day October 24, 2026 · forecast of October 24, 2026

Our forecast gives the NDP a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.4 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Live results

Results for Vancouver-Point Grey will appear here when polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific time on Saturday, October 24.

All British Columbia results

Projected vote share

Projection by party

NDP 49.3%
Con 35.9%
GP 12.9%
CentreBC 1.9%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

What Orbit says

Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the NDP, with a 88% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).

Model	Favourite	Chance
Harfang des neiges	NDP	> 99%
Orbit	NDP	88%
50/50 blend	NDP	94%

Figures as of October 23, 2026. The blend averages the two chances; in replays of the 2018 and 2022 Quebec elections, it beat our main forecast on its own.

Every race according to Orbit

Compared with the average

	NDP	Con	GP	CentreBC
Vancouver-Point Grey	49.3%	35.9%	12.9%	1.9%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia	40.3%+9.0	47.0%−11.1	10.3%+2.6	0.7%+1.2

Simple average of the 93 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Current member

David Eby · NDP

43rd Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The NDP won by 22.3 points, with 63.4% turnout.

Our current projection: the NDP ahead by 13.4 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate	Party	Votes	%
David Eby Elected	NDP	—	56.8
Paul Ratchford	Con	—	34.5
Devyani Singh	GP	—	8.7

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Vancouver-Quilchena Con, safe seat
Vancouver-South Granville NDP, safe seat
Vancouver-West End NDP, safe seat
Vancouver-Langara Con, safe seat
Vancouver-Yaletown Con, toss-up
Vancouver-Little Mountain NDP, safe seat

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

Forecast updated: October 24, 2026