Riding profile

Peace River--Westlock

Federal riding — AB · Rural · ab rural

The question

Peace River--Westlock: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?

Editorial read

Peace River--Westlock, a rural riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 65-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 56% vote share, against 16% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 86% anglophone.

Sitting member

Arnold Viersen

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Conservative

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
39.7
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 55.8%
  • Liberal 16.1%
  • NDP 4.2%
  • Green 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Liberal NDP Green
HerePeace River--Westlock 55.8%16.1%4.2%0.8%
Provincial averageAlberta 44.0% +11.7 35.7% −19.6 7.2% −3.0 1.2% −0.4
National averageCanada 34.8% +21.0 41.9% −25.8 14.2% −10.0 2.1% −1.3

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
64.8 pts
Turnout
65.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
-25.1 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Arnold Viersen Elected Conservative 41,130 77.1 Parliamentarian
Luke Markowski Liberal 6,278 11.8 Student
Darrell Teske Independent 3,048 5.7 Home Builder
Landen Tischer NDP 2,913 5.5 Farmer

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 0.9%
  • Anglophone 85.7%
  • Non-francophone (other) 13.4%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46