Riding profile
Peace River--Westlock
The question
Peace River--Westlock: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 36.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePeace River--Westlock | 55.5% | 18.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 43.8% +11.7 | 40.8% −22.0 | 5.2% −2.5 | 1.5% −0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 32.1% +23.4 | 48.0% −29.2 | 10.6% −7.9 | 2.7% −1.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Peace River--Westlock, a rural riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 65-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 55% vote share, against 19% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 86% anglophone.
Sitting member
Arnold Viersen
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnold Viersen Elected | Conservative | 41,130 | 77.1 | Parliamentarian |
| Luke Markowski | Liberal | 6,278 | 11.8 | Student |
| Darrell Teske | Independent | 3,048 | 5.7 | Home Builder |
| Landen Tischer | NDP | 2,913 | 5.5 | Farmer |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.9%
- Anglophone 85.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 13.4%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46