St. Albert—Sturgeon River
Federal riding · Alberta · Edmonton
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 48%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Albert—Sturgeon River | 45.7% | 40.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 40.6%+5.1 | 42.6%−2.0 | 5.6%−1.8 | 2.3%+0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 46.8%−1.1 | 30.4%+10.2 | 11.2%−7.4 | 2.7% |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
|
|---|
Current member
Michael Cooper · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 33.9 points, with 76.8% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 5.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Cooper Elected | Conservative | 49,216 | 63.7 | Parliamentarian |
| Lucia Stachurski | Liberal | 22,977 | 29.7 | Retired Accountant |
| Dorothy Anderson | NDP | 3,684 | 4.8 | Senior Advisor |
| Brigitte Cecelia | PPC | 820 | 1.1 | Retail Manager |
| Jeff Willerton | Other | 264 | 0.3 | Salesperson |
| Other candidates | 350 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Edmonton Northwest Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Griesbach NDP, toss-up
- Edmonton Manning Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton West Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Strathcona NDP, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated