Riding profile
St. Albert--Sturgeon River
The question
St. Albert--Sturgeon River: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
St. Albert--Sturgeon River, a suburban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 34-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 42% vote share, against 40% for the Liberal Party, and the race could swing. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 97% anglophone.
Sitting member
Michael Cooper
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 82%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.4
- P(close race)
- 76%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSt. Albert--Sturgeon River | 42.2% | 39.5% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 44.0% −1.8 | 35.7% +3.8 | 7.2% −1.5 | 1.3% +0.3 |
| National averageCanada | 34.8% +7.4 | 41.9% −2.4 | 14.2% −8.5 | 1.0% +0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Cooper Elected | Conservative | 49,216 | 63.9 | Parliamentarian |
| Lucia Stachurski | Liberal | 22,977 | 29.9 | Retired Accountant |
| Dorothy Anderson | NDP | 3,684 | 4.8 | Senior Advisor |
| Brigitte Cecelia | PPC | 820 | 1.1 | Retail Manager |
| Jeff Willerton | Other | 264 | 0.3 | Salesperson |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.9%
- Anglophone 96.6%
- Non-francophone (other) 2.5%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46