Edmonton West
Federal riding · Alberta · Edmonton
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton West | 57.2% | 34.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 40.6%+16.6 | 42.6%−7.8 | 5.6%−1.8 | 2.3% |
| National averageCanada | 46.8%+10.4 | 30.4%+4.4 | 11.2%−7.4 | 2.7%−0.4 |
Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Language spoken most often at home |
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Current member
Kelly McCauley · Conservative
Previous election (2025)
The Conservative Party won by 12.1 points, with 69.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 22.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McCauley Elected | Conservative | 31,201 | 52.6 | Parliamentarian |
| Brad Fournier | Liberal | 23,995 | 40.4 | Business Executive |
| Sean McQuillan | NDP | 3,164 | 5.3 | Film Technician |
| Brent Kinzel | PPC | 534 | 0.9 | Yard Supervisor |
| Peggy Morton | Other | 121 | 0.2 | Retired Health Care Worker |
| Other candidates | 359 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Edmonton Riverbend Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Gateway Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Northwest Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Centre Liberal, safe seat
- Edmonton Strathcona NDP, safe seat
- Edmonton Southeast Liberal, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated