Riding profile
Edmonton Gateway
The question
Edmonton Gateway: will Conservative lose this seat to Liberal?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEdmonton Gateway | 54.2% | 33.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 40.8% +13.4 | 43.8% −9.9 | 5.2% −1.9 | 1.3% |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +6.2 | 32.1% +1.8 | 10.6% −7.3 | 1.0% +0.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Edmonton Gateway, an urban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 54% vote share, against 34% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Tim Uppal
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Uppal Elected | Conservative | 26,385 | 50.6 | Consultant |
| Jeremy Hoefsloot | Liberal | 19,435 | 37.3 | Lawyer |
| Madeline Mayes | NDP | 2,565 | 4.9 | Sales Associate |
| Rod Loyola | Independent | 2,455 | 4.7 | Parliamentarian |
| Ashok Patel | Independent | 838 | 1.6 | Mechanical Engineer |
| Paul McCormack | PPC | 474 | 0.9 | Retired |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 73.9%
- Non-francophone (other) 26.1%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46