Riding profile
Edmonton Riverbend
The question
Edmonton Riverbend: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Edmonton Riverbend, an urban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 55% vote share, against 33% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Matt Jeneroux
Sits with Liberal
Elected as Conservative · floor_crossingon2026-02-18
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 21.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEdmonton Riverbend | 54.9% | 33.4% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 35.7% +19.1 | 44.0% −10.6 | 7.2% −1.8 | 1.3% −0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +13.0 | 34.8% −1.4 | 14.2% −8.8 | 1.0% +0.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jeneroux Elected | Conservative | 30,343 | 50.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Mark Minenko | Liberal | 27,075 | 44.8 | Lawyer |
| Susan Cake | NDP | 2,563 | 4.2 | Post-Secondary Professor |
| Dwayne Dudiak | PPC | 410 | 0.7 | Automotive Technician |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 78.6%
- Non-francophone (other) 21.4%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46