Riding profile
Edmonton Southeast
The question
Edmonton Southeast: will Conservative lose this seat to Liberal?
Editorial read
Edmonton Southeast, an urban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 49% vote share, against 36% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jagsharan Singh Mahal
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEdmonton Southeast | 48.7% | 35.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 35.7% +13.0 | 44.0% −8.1 | 7.2% −1.6 | 1.3% +1.0 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +6.8 | 34.8% +1.1 | 14.2% −8.6 | 1.0% +1.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagsharan Singh Mahal Elected | Conservative | 25,206 | 52.9 | Lawyer |
| Amarjeet Sohi | Liberal | 18,481 | 38.8 | Municipal Politician |
| Harpreet Grewal | NDP | 2,536 | 5.3 | Licensed Practical Nurse |
| Martin Schuetza | PPC | 881 | 1.8 | Laser Practitioner |
| Gurleen Chandi | Independent | 292 | 0.6 | Managing Consultant |
| Corinne Benson | Other | 268 | 0.6 | Retired Child Care Worker |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 63.5%
- Non-francophone (other) 36.5%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46