Riding profile

Edmonton Strathcona

Federal riding — AB · Urban · edmonton

The question

Edmonton Strathcona: a safe seat for the NDP?

Editorial read

Edmonton Strathcona, an urban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 51% vote share, against 28% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 2% francophone, 88% anglophone.

Sitting member

Heather McPherson

Sits with NDP

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

NDP

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
22.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • NDP 51.0%
  • Liberal 28.2%
  • Conservative 16.4%
  • Green 1.4%
  • PPC 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

NDP Liberal Conservative Green
HereEdmonton Strathcona 51.0%28.2%16.4%1.4%
Provincial averageAlberta 7.2% +43.8 35.7% −7.6 44.0% −27.6 1.2% +0.2
National averageCanada 14.2% +36.8 41.9% −13.7 34.8% −18.4 2.1% −0.7

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
NDP
Margin
13.8 pts
Turnout
72.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
+9.1 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Heather McPherson Elected NDP 28,027 47.0 Parliamentarian
Miles Berry Conservative 19,768 33.1 Registered Nurse
Ron Thiering Liberal 10,709 17.9 Self-Employed
David Joel Wojtowicz PPC 386 0.6 Student
Atul Deshmukh Green 366 0.6 Project Manager
Graham Lettner Independent 250 0.4 Self-Employed
Christian Bourque Other 181 0.3 Industrial landscaper

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 1.6%
  • Anglophone 88.1%
  • Non-francophone (other) 10.3%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46