Riding profile
Edmonton Strathcona
The question
Edmonton Strathcona: a safe seat for the NDP?
Current forecast
NDP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | Liberal | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEdmonton Strathcona | 48.7% | 34.9% | 16.2% | 1.7% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 5.2% +43.5 | 40.8% −5.9 | 43.8% −27.6 | 1.5% +0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 10.6% +38.1 | 48.0% −13.1 | 32.1% −15.9 | 2.7% −1.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Edmonton Strathcona, an urban riding in Alberta, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 49% vote share, against 35% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 2% francophone, 88% anglophone.
Sitting member
Heather McPherson
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather McPherson Elected | NDP | 28,027 | 47.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Miles Berry | Conservative | 19,768 | 33.1 | Registered Nurse |
| Ron Thiering | Liberal | 10,709 | 17.9 | Self-Employed |
| David Joel Wojtowicz | PPC | 386 | 0.6 | Student |
| Atul Deshmukh | Green | 366 | 0.6 | Project Manager |
| Graham Lettner | Independent | 250 | 0.4 | Self-Employed |
| Christian Bourque | Other | 181 | 0.3 | Industrial landscaper |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 1.6%
- Anglophone 88.1%
- Non-francophone (other) 10.3%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46