Riding profile
Parkland
The question
Parkland: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 29.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereParkland | 53.6% | 24.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 43.8% +9.8 | 40.8% −16.3 | 5.2% −2.8 | 1.3% +0.6 |
| National averageCanada | 32.1% +21.5 | 48.0% −23.5 | 10.6% −8.2 | 1.0% +0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Parkland, a rural riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 57-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 54% vote share, against 25% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 97% anglophone.
Sitting member
Dane Lloyd
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Lloyd Elected | Conservative | 53,468 | 75.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Ashley Fearnall | Liberal | 12,690 | 17.8 | Director of Human Resources |
| Keri Goad | NDP | 2,949 | 4.1 | Teacher |
| Jason Lavigne | PPC | 1,066 | 1.5 | Independent Journalist |
| Daniel Birrell | Green | 449 | 0.6 | Stay-at-Home Dad |
| Wade Klassen | Other | 287 | 0.4 | Carpenter |
| Kevin Schulthies | Other | 198 | 0.3 | Self-Employed Graphic Designer |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.3%
- Anglophone 97.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 2.3%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46