Riding profile

Skeena--Bulkley Valley

Federal riding — BC · Rural · bc north

The question

Skeena--Bulkley Valley: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Skeena--Bulkley Valley, a rural riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 42% vote share, against 40% for the NDP, and the race could swing. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 96% anglophone.

Sitting member

Ellis Ross

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Conservative

Toss-up

Probability
85%
Mean margin (pts)
1.7
P(close race)
99%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 41.5%
  • NDP 40.1%
  • Liberal 10.2%
  • Green 1.1%
  • PPC 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative NDP Liberal Green
HereSkeena--Bulkley Valley 41.5%40.1%10.2%1.1%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 35.8% +5.7 10.6% +29.5 41.9% −31.7 2.6% −1.5
National averageCanada 34.8% +6.8 14.2% +25.9 41.9% −31.7 2.1% −1.0

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
7.8 pts
Turnout
64.6%
Margin shift vs current projection
-6.1 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Ellis Ross Elected Conservative 21,202 47.2 Former Legislator
Taylor Bachrach NDP 17,677 39.3 Parliamentarian
Inderpal Dhillon Liberal 4,923 11.0 Self-Employed
Rod Taylor Other 602 1.3 Author
Adeana Young Green 528 1.2 First Nations Language Teacher

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 0.4%
  • Anglophone 96.2%
  • Non-francophone (other) 3.4%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46