Riding profile

Kamloops--Thompson--Nicola

Federal riding — BC · Mixed · bc interior

The question

Kamloops--Thompson--Nicola: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?

Editorial read

Kamloops--Thompson--Nicola, a mixed riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 11-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 47% vote share, against 39% for the Liberal Party, and the riding remains competitive. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 96% anglophone.

Sitting member

Frank Caputo

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Conservative

Competitive

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
7.2
P(close race)
16%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 46.5%
  • Liberal 39.4%
  • NDP 2.7%
  • Green 1.5%
  • PPC 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Liberal NDP Green
HereKamloops--Thompson--Nicola 46.5%39.4%2.7%1.5%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 35.8% +10.7 41.9% −2.6 10.6% −7.9 2.6% −1.1
National averageCanada 34.8% +11.7 41.9% −2.5 14.2% −11.5 2.1% −0.6

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
11.3 pts
Turnout
69.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
-4.1 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Frank Caputo Elected Conservative 32,008 51.5 Parliamentarian
Iain Currie Liberal 24,961 40.2 Lawyer
Miguel Godau NDP 3,681 5.9 Therapist
Jenna Lindley Green 936 1.5 Business Owner
Chris Enns PPC 516 0.8 Project Manager

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 0.2%
  • Anglophone 96.3%
  • Non-francophone (other) 3.5%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46