Riding profile
Cariboo--Prince George
The question
Cariboo--Prince George: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 19.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | Green | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCariboo--Prince George | 52.2% | 32.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 33.6% +18.5 | 47.6% −14.9 | 3.0% −1.0 | 1.1% +0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 32.1% +20.1 | 48.0% −15.3 | 2.7% −0.7 | 1.0% +0.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Cariboo--Prince George, a rural riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 52% vote share, against 33% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Todd Doherty
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Doherty Elected | Conservative | 38,175 | 60.3 | Parliamentarian |
| Clinton Emslie | Liberal | 19,243 | 30.4 | Chief Executive Officer |
| Angie Bonazzo | NDP | 3,900 | 6.2 | Mental Health Support Worker |
| Jodie Capling | Green | 1,155 | 1.8 | Yoga Teacher |
| Rudy Sans | PPC | 436 | 0.7 | Deputy Sheriff |
| Kenneth B. Thomson | Independent | 208 | 0.3 | Lawyer |
| Jake Wiens | Other | 174 | 0.3 | Retired Teacher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 95.8%
- Non-francophone (other) 4.2%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46