Riding profile
West Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky Country
The question
West Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky Country: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 43.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | Green | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWest Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky Country | 67.4% | 24.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% +19.8 | 33.6% −9.6 | 3.0% +0.7 | 1.1% +0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +19.4 | 32.1% −8.1 | 2.7% +1.0 | 1.0% +0.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
West Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky Country, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 27-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 67% vote share, against 24% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 89% anglophone.
Sitting member
Patrick Weiler
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Weiler Elected | Liberal | 38,384 | 59.7 | Lawyer |
| Keith Roy | Conservative | 21,181 | 33.0 | Realtor |
| Lauren Greenlaw | Green | 2,205 | 3.4 | Municipal Councillor, District of Squamish |
| Jäger Rosenberg | NDP | 2,070 | 3.2 | Student |
| Peyman Askari | PPC | 308 | 0.5 | Software Developer |
| Gordon Jeffrey | Other | 99 | 0.2 | Waiter |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.9%
- Anglophone 89.0%
- Non-francophone (other) 10.1%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46