Riding profile
West Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky Country
The question
West Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky Country: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
West Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky Country, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 27-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 59% vote share, against 26% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 89% anglophone.
Sitting member
Patrick Weiler
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 32.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | Green | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWest Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky Country | 59.2% | 26.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 41.9% +17.3 | 35.8% −9.5 | 2.6% +0.8 | 10.6% −7.5 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +17.3 | 34.8% −8.4 | 2.1% +1.3 | 14.2% −11.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Weiler Elected | Liberal | 38,384 | 59.7 | Lawyer |
| Keith Roy | Conservative | 21,181 | 33.0 | Realtor |
| Lauren Greenlaw | Green | 2,205 | 3.4 | Municipal Councillor, District of Squamish |
| Jäger Rosenberg | NDP | 2,070 | 3.2 | Student |
| Peyman Askari | PPC | 308 | 0.5 | Software Developer |
| Gordon Jeffrey | Other | 99 | 0.2 | Waiter |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.9%
- Anglophone 89.0%
- Non-francophone (other) 10.1%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46