Riding profile

Coquitlam--Port Coquitlam

Federal riding — BC · Urban · vancouver metro

The question

Coquitlam--Port Coquitlam: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Coquitlam--Port Coquitlam, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 47% vote share, against 37% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Ron McKinnon

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
9.9
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 47.0%
  • Conservative 37.1%
  • NDP 3.8%
  • Green 0.9%
  • PPC 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereCoquitlam--Port Coquitlam 47.0%37.1%3.8%0.9%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 41.9% +5.0 35.8% +1.3 10.6% −6.8 2.6% −1.7
National averageCanada 41.9% +5.1 34.8% +2.3 14.2% −10.4 2.1% −1.2

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
4.4 pts
Turnout
69.4%
Margin shift vs current projection
+5.5 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Ron McKinnon Elected Liberal 27,250 47.4 Parliamentarian
Iain Black Conservative 24,730 43.0 Businessman
Laura Dupont NDP 4,253 7.4 Unemployed
Lewis Clarke Dahlby Other 785 1.4 Business Owner
Michael Peter Glenister Green 504 0.9 Educator

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 70.3%
  • Non-francophone (other) 29.7%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46