Riding profile

Port Moody--Coquitlam

Federal riding — BC · Urban · vancouver metro

The question

Port Moody--Coquitlam: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Port Moody--Coquitlam, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 45% vote share, against 34% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Zoe Royer

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
10.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 45.3%
  • Conservative 34.4%
  • NDP 10.4%
  • Green 0.8%
  • PPC 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HerePort Moody--Coquitlam 45.3%34.4%10.4%0.8%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 41.9% +3.4 35.8% −1.4 10.6% −0.2 2.6% −1.8
National averageCanada 41.9% +3.4 34.8% −0.4 14.2% −3.8 2.1% −1.3

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
3.1 pts
Turnout
70.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
+7.8 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Zoe Royer Elected Liberal 27,074 43.5 School Trustee
Paul Lambert Conservative 25,126 40.4 Business Consultant
Bonita Zarrillo NDP 9,360 15.0 Parliamentarian
Nash Milani Green 519 0.8 Recreation Clerk
Roland Verrier Other 117 0.2 Electrician

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 75.7%
  • Non-francophone (other) 24.3%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46