Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Port Moody—Coquitlam

Federal riding · British Columbia · Metro Vancouver

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives the Liberal Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.1 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 50.8%
  • Conservative 31.7%
  • NDP 8.6%
  • PPC 1.6%
  • Green 1.1%

Thin vertical mark: 2025 result.

Compared with the average

Liberal Conservative NDP PPC
Port Moody—Coquitlam 50.8%31.7%8.6%1.6%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 46.5%+4.3 32.8%−1.1 9.0%−0.4 1.9%−0.4
National averageCanada 46.8%+4.0 30.4%+1.3 11.2%−2.6 2.7%−1.2

Simple average of the 343 ridings, not weighted by population.

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Local profile

Language spoken most often at home
  • English 75.7%
  • Other languages (French included) 24.3%

Source: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census (single responses)

Current member

Zoe Royer · Liberal

In office since April 28, 2025. 45th Parliament.

Previous election (2025)

The Liberal Party won by 3.1 points, with 70.3% turnout.

Our current projection: the Liberal Party ahead by 19.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2025

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Zoe Royer Elected Liberal 27,074 43.3 School Trustee
Paul Lambert Conservative 25,126 40.1 Business Consultant
Bonita Zarrillo NDP 9,360 15.0 Parliamentarian
Nash Milani Green 519 0.8 Recreation Clerk
Roland Verrier Other 117 0.2 Electrician
Other candidates 403 0.6

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Central NewfoundlandLiberal61%1.1-point gap
  2. Richmond Hill SouthLiberal55%1.3-point gap
  3. Niagara WestConservative61%1.3-point gap
Forecast updated