Riding profile
Burnaby North--Seymour
The question
Burnaby North--Seymour: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 39.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | PPC | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBurnaby North--Seymour | 65.4% | 26.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% +17.8 | 33.6% −7.5 | 1.1% +0.1 | 8.4% −7.3 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +17.4 | 32.1% −6.0 | 1.0% +0.1 | 10.6% −9.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Burnaby North--Seymour, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 65% vote share, against 26% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Terry Beech
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Beech Elected | Liberal | 37,829 | 59.1 | Parliamentarian |
| Mauro Francis | Conservative | 21,742 | 33.9 | Executive Director |
| Michael Charrois | NDP | 4,121 | 6.4 | Performance Artist |
| Jesse Fulton | PPC | 366 | 0.6 | Driver |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 77.8%
- Non-francophone (other) 22.2%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46