Riding profile

Vancouver Kingsway

Federal riding — BC · Urban · vancouver metro

The question

Vancouver Kingsway: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Vancouver Kingsway, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 39% vote share, against 36% for the Liberal Party, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Don Davies

Sits with NDP

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

NDP

Toss-up

Probability
88%
Mean margin (pts)
3.0
P(close race)
83%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • NDP 39.0%
  • Liberal 36.2%
  • Conservative 18.6%
  • PPC 1.1%
  • Green 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

NDP Liberal Conservative PPC
HereVancouver Kingsway 39.0%36.2%18.6%1.1%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 10.6% +28.4 41.9% −5.7 35.8% −17.2 1.0% +0.2
National averageCanada 14.2% +24.8 41.9% −5.7 34.8% −16.2 1.0% +0.1

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
NDP
Margin
0.6 pts
Turnout
63.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.4 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Don Davies Elected NDP 18,788 37.2 Parliamentarian
Amy K. Gill Liberal 18,485 36.6 CFO
Ravinder Bhatia Conservative 12,352 24.5 Businessman
Imtiaz Popat Green 499 1.0 Mental Health Worker
Fiona Wang PPC 322 0.6 Legal Assistant

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 63.2%
  • Non-francophone (other) 36.8%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46