Riding profile
Vancouver Kingsway
The question
Vancouver Kingsway: will NDP lose this seat to Liberal?
Current forecast
Liberal
Competitive
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.8
- P(close race)
- 23%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | NDP | Conservative | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVancouver Kingsway | 43.1% | 36.3% | 16.7% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% −4.5 | 8.4% +27.9 | 33.6% −16.9 | 1.1% +0.2 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% −4.9 | 10.6% +25.7 | 32.1% −15.4 | 1.0% +0.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Vancouver Kingsway, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 43% vote share, against 36% for the NDP, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Don Davies
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Davies Elected | NDP | 18,788 | 37.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Amy K. Gill | Liberal | 18,485 | 36.6 | CFO |
| Ravinder Bhatia | Conservative | 12,352 | 24.5 | Businessman |
| Imtiaz Popat | Green | 499 | 1.0 | Mental Health Worker |
| Fiona Wang | PPC | 322 | 0.6 | Legal Assistant |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 63.2%
- Non-francophone (other) 36.8%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46