Riding profile
Vancouver Fraserview--South Burnaby
The question
Vancouver Fraserview--South Burnaby: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 30.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVancouver Fraserview--South Burnaby | 58.7% | 27.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% +11.1 | 33.6% −5.8 | 8.4% −5.1 | 1.1% +0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +10.7 | 32.1% −4.3 | 10.6% −7.3 | 1.0% +0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Vancouver Fraserview--South Burnaby, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 17-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 59% vote share, against 28% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Gregor Robertson
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Robertson Elected | Liberal | 27,117 | 52.3 | Business Person |
| Avi Nayyar | Conservative | 18,500 | 35.7 | Lawyer |
| Manoj Bhangu | NDP | 5,088 | 9.8 | Small Business Owner |
| Alexander Dow | Green | 658 | 1.3 | Retired |
| Desiderio Magtanggol 'Bonn' Reyes | PPC | 482 | 0.9 | Insurance Advisor |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 56.6%
- Non-francophone (other) 43.4%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46