Riding profile
Richmond East--Steveston
The question
Richmond East--Steveston: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 16.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | Green | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereRichmond East--Steveston | 54.9% | 38.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% +7.2 | 33.6% +4.8 | 3.0% −1.8 | 1.1% −0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +6.9 | 32.1% +6.3 | 2.7% −1.6 | 1.0% −0.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Richmond East--Steveston, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 55% vote share, against 38% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Parm Bains
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parm Bains Elected | Liberal | 25,705 | 48.4 | Parliamentarian |
| Zach Segal | Conservative | 24,605 | 46.4 | Public Affairs Advisor |
| Keefer Pelech | NDP | 2,251 | 4.2 | Senior Ministerial Advisor |
| Steven Ji | Green | 494 | 0.9 | Financial Investor |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 54.1%
- Non-francophone (other) 45.9%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46