Riding profile
Delta
The question
Delta: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Delta, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 51% vote share, against 37% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jill McKnight
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDelta | 51.4% | 37.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 41.9% +9.4 | 35.8% +1.4 | 10.6% −7.5 | 1.0% +0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +9.5 | 34.8% +2.4 | 14.2% −11.1 | 1.0% +0.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jill McKnight Elected | Liberal | 32,802 | 51.8 | Former Executive Director |
| Jessy Sahota | Conservative | 27,314 | 43.2 | Police Officer |
| Jason McCormick | NDP | 2,787 | 4.4 | Transit Operator |
| Natasa Sirotic | PPC | 390 | 0.6 | Teacher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 76.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 23.3%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46