Riding profile
Delta
The question
Delta: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 23.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | PPC | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDelta | 58.3% | 35.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% +10.7 | 33.6% +1.6 | 1.1% +0.1 | 8.4% −7.7 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +10.3 | 32.1% +3.2 | 1.0% +0.2 | 10.6% −9.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Delta, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 58% vote share, against 35% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jill McKnight
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jill McKnight Elected | Liberal | 32,802 | 51.8 | Former Executive Director |
| Jessy Sahota | Conservative | 27,314 | 43.2 | Police Officer |
| Jason McCormick | NDP | 2,787 | 4.4 | Transit Operator |
| Natasa Sirotic | PPC | 390 | 0.6 | Teacher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 76.7%
- Non-francophone (other) 23.3%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46