Riding profile
Surrey Newton
The question
Surrey Newton: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Surrey Newton, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 49% vote share, against 38% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sukh Dhaliwal
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSurrey Newton | 48.8% | 37.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 41.9% +6.9 | 35.8% +2.1 | 10.6% −7.1 | 1.0% −0.4 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +6.9 | 34.8% +3.1 | 14.2% −10.7 | 1.0% −0.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sukh Dhaliwal Elected | Liberal | 20,263 | 49.5 | Parliamentarian |
| Harjit Singh Gill | Conservative | 18,023 | 44.0 | Radio Broadcaster |
| Raj Singh Toor | NDP | 2,467 | 6.0 | Retired |
| Salman Zafar | Other | 222 | 0.5 | Claims Adjuster |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 45.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 54.6%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46