Riding profile
New Westminster--Burnaby--Maillardville
The question
New Westminster--Burnaby--Maillardville: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 15.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | NDP | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNew Westminster--Burnaby--Maillardville | 46.3% | 30.7% | 23.6% | 1.4% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% −1.3 | 8.4% +22.3 | 33.6% −10.0 | 3.0% −1.5 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% −1.7 | 10.6% +20.1 | 32.1% −8.5 | 2.7% −1.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
New Westminster--Burnaby--Maillardville, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 46% vote share, against 31% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jake Sawatzky
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Sawatzky Elected | Liberal | 19,547 | 35.1 | Instructional Facilitator |
| Peter Julian | NDP | 17,574 | 31.5 | Parliamentarian |
| Indy Panchi | Conservative | 17,507 | 31.4 | Real Estate Agent |
| Tara Shushtarian | Green | 690 | 1.2 | Social |
| Lourence Almonte Singh | Independent | 385 | 0.7 | Self-Employed Realtor |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 73.9%
- Non-francophone (other) 26.1%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46