Riding profile
Burnaby Central
The question
Burnaby Central: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Burnaby Central, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 44% vote share, against 33% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Wade Chang
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBurnaby Central | 44.4% | 32.6% | 14.2% | 1.5% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 41.9% +2.5 | 35.8% −3.2 | 10.6% +3.6 | 1.0% +0.5 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +2.5 | 34.8% −2.2 | 14.2% | 1.0% +0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Chang Elected | Liberal | 21,745 | 42.2 | Lawyer |
| James Yan | Conservative | 19,889 | 38.6 | Manager |
| Jagmeet Singh | NDP | 9,353 | 18.2 | Parliamentarian |
| Richard Farbridge | PPC | 506 | 1.0 | Civil Engineer |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 58.1%
- Non-francophone (other) 41.9%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46