Riding profile
Vancouver East
The question
Vancouver East: a safe seat for the NDP?
Editorial read
Vancouver East, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 45% vote share, against 35% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 80% anglophone.
Sitting member
Jenny Kwan
Sits with NDP
Current forecast
NDP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.2
- P(close race)
- 2%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | Liberal | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVancouver East | 45.4% | 35.1% | 12.0% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 10.6% +34.8 | 41.9% −6.8 | 35.8% −23.8 | 2.6% −0.7 |
| National averageCanada | 14.2% +31.2 | 41.9% −6.8 | 34.8% −22.8 | 2.1% −0.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenny Kwan Elected | NDP | 24,945 | 43.6 | Parliamentarian |
| Mark Wiens | Liberal | 20,287 | 35.5 | Realtor |
| Lita Cabal | Conservative | 10,162 | 17.8 | IT Business Analyst |
| Nikida Steel | Green | 1,099 | 1.9 | Social Worker |
| Meghan Emily Murphy | PPC | 329 | 0.6 | Writer |
| Kimball Cariou | Other | 329 | 0.6 | Journalist |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.6%
- Anglophone 80.0%
- Non-francophone (other) 19.4%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46