Riding profile
Vancouver East
The question
Vancouver East: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
NDP
Toss-up
- Probability
- 60%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.0
- P(close race)
- 95%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | Liberal | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVancouver East | 42.7% | 42.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 8.4% +34.3 | 47.6% −5.6 | 33.6% −23.6 | 3.0% −0.9 |
| National averageCanada | 10.6% +32.1 | 48.0% −6.0 | 32.1% −22.1 | 2.7% −0.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Vancouver East, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 43% vote share, against 42% for the Liberal Party, and the race could swing. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 80% anglophone.
Sitting member
Jenny Kwan
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenny Kwan Elected | NDP | 24,945 | 43.6 | Parliamentarian |
| Mark Wiens | Liberal | 20,287 | 35.5 | Realtor |
| Lita Cabal | Conservative | 10,162 | 17.8 | IT Business Analyst |
| Nikida Steel | Green | 1,099 | 1.9 | Social Worker |
| Meghan Emily Murphy | PPC | 329 | 0.6 | Writer |
| Kimball Cariou | Other | 329 | 0.6 | Journalist |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.6%
- Anglophone 80.0%
- Non-francophone (other) 19.4%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46